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Home Analysis

Sui (SUI) extends losses amid weak retail demand

May 16, 2026
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Key takeaways

Sui is down 10% on Friday, extending its decline for the fifth consecutive day.
The technical outlook for SUI is bearish, with a danger of a steeper decline towards $1.00.

Sui (SUI) is down roughly 10% on Friday, persevering with a five-day decline this week as retail curiosity within the token wanes. 

The broader market is shifting focus away from underperforming layer-1 property, and technical indicators counsel a possible double-digit drop towards $1.00.

Weak point in derivatives indicators sell-side dominance

SUI can also be dropping traction within the derivatives market. In line with CoinGlass, SUI futures Open Curiosity (OI) fell 10.5% over the previous 24 hours to $727.97 million, reflecting a lowered notional worth of excellent contracts. 

In the identical interval, $7.2 million in positions had been liquidated, with $7. million coming from lengthy positions—indicating robust sell-side strain.

Technical outlook: Will SUI drop under $1?

The SUI/USD 4H chart is bearish and environment friendly as Sui is down by 10% within the final 24 hours. At press time, SUI is buying and selling under the 50-period Exponential Transferring Common (EMA) at $1.1558 and the decrease Bollinger Band at $1.1442, displaying short-term bearish bias. 

The token stays above the 200-period EMA at $1.0270, suggesting that the broader restoration construction remains to be intact regardless of waning momentum.

Momentum indicators point out that the bears are nonetheless in play. The Relative Power Index (RSI) has slipped to 46, under the midline, whereas the MACD histogram stays in unfavorable territory, implying that rebounds could face persistent promoting strain.

If the bearish development persists, the bulls would encounter the primary help on the 200-day EMA at $1.0270 and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at $0.9972.

A every day shut under this stage may see SUI strategy the prior cycle low close to $0.8815.

SUI/USD 4H Chart

Nonetheless, if the bulls regain management, SUI may rally in the direction of the primary resistance stage at $1.2171. An prolonged rally may see SUI hit the higher Bollinger Band close to $1.2900, and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $1.2947.

SUI’s technical construction reveals deteriorating momentum, and merchants ought to monitor each spot and derivatives markets for indicators of additional draw back or potential reduction rallies.

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